Are "Melting Pots" doomed to implode in the long run?
Will America's inevitable economic decline create racial instability in the near future?
What is the future of the melting pot concept? Most evidence suggests a correlation between a nation’s instability and the number of different ethnic groupings in the nation. As one would expect, evidence also and in turn suggest a correlation between a nation’s civil stability and homogeneousness. This could also be coincidence; however, given the competitive nature of humans, especially under competitive political and economic construct, I believe that increased social unrest in the product of a fragmented society.Evidence of this correlation can be seen from Eastern Europe, after the fall of the USSR, to Africa. One can see the effects of history in which an empirical power or powers forced different ethnic peoples all under one roof and used a hard hand to maintain order. In the case of Africa, it was the European powers who decided, at the Berlin Conference of 1884, to divide up Africa to Various European nations. Thus, the borders of African nations were imposed to represent the resource, strategic and logistic interest of Europeans. Hence, competing autonomous tribes were often group together (purposely often) into one nation. The resultant is that confrontation and competition between these peoples have manifested into Genocidal occurrences in Eastern Europe and Africa, in the extreme cases.
In light of this, what is the long term fate of the American pot that does not melt? White America or America, since its start, has always feared the black race that was brought over as slaves. The reason being is that one group of people knew what they have done wrong to another group of people and thus feared revolt or retribution. The nation originally had primarily two or three groups, the Natives, the Europeans and the Africans. The Europeans oppressed and repressed the Native and Africans to the degree of creating stability for the nation (the nation being whites), at the expense of Black and Natives rights and freedom. Today, civil rights laws have been won and new groups of immigrants are pouring into the nation making it even less homogenous and hence threatening to long term peace, based upon the correlation factors.
Heterogeneous population grouping, especially when there is tradition of animosity, have only been maintained via oppressive forces or an abundance of opportunity that prevents the need of one groups interest being a cost to another group undery hyper competition. In the US, as the oppressive racial laws waned, economic opportunities in relative abundance is what has kept the nation ethnic groups from being at each others throats. Thus, the only glue that holds our nation together is economic opportunities and maintaining a vibrant future economic outlook.
If economics is the glue, then the future harmony of our heterogeneous groupings is indeed at risk. The reason being is that structurally and competitively, the USA economic machine is waning. We exist in a global market place where other nations have gained the comparative advantage in the production of many goods and services. Americans like to think of ourselves as superior innovators and this is what gives us the ultimate comparative advantage. However, many Asian nations are surpassing the USA in the intellectual achievement of their youth and if innovation is born from intellect, the USA will soon lose this comparative advantage as well.
The USA has run a trade deficit for 20 years running. This means that foreign investors are financing our debts and future and if they retract and reinvest in other markets, our economic engine will sputter. Not only that, we enjoy the benefit of the dollar being the base reserve currency of many nations in the world and If that switches to the Eurodollar, that will result in the fall of the US economy as well. These are simply a few of the structural weaknesses of our nation’s economy, but there are plenty more. The economic zenith of the nation and its relative position in the world has reached its peak about 20 years ago, when we last had a trade surplus.
As our nations economy structurally weakens, the nations needs more cheap sources of labor, thus they have opened to doors to Mexican immigrants. On the upper end, the doors of the nation have been opened to Asian immigrants on HB1 Visas, for their technical skills due to the fact that America is not producing the intellectual capital to keep it a leader in innovation. Thus, our nation is becoming more diverse, but rivalry will ferment between the lower and upper end competition. Latinos will become competitors with Blacks because the elites will divide and conquer as they always have. Asians numbers, if they continue to increase, will become a competitive threat at the upper end for whites, who traditionally saw themselves as the intellectual supreme.
As white tax dollars come more under the control of so-called racial minorities and programs (the result of changing demographics) and policies are enacted to represent the majority interest, which will be minorities, whites will be compelled to unify under the banner of preserving white interest. This is what minorities do under white majority rule in an attempt to preserve their interest, except they lack the economic power of whites. Since whites will still have control over most of the economic power, if not political, it will cause a violent resentment and reaction from the other groups, when whites start allocote opportunities in greater preference to whites than before.